Michael Moore is predicting a Donald Trump victory in November.
The liberal filmmaker shared his presidential prediction at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland during a special edition of the longtime HBO political panel program “Real Time with Bill Maher.”
“I’m sorry to have to be the buzzkill here so early on, but I think Trump is going to win. I’m sorry,” the 62-year-old Moore proclaimed to gasps and boos from the progressive live audience. “Boo if you want.”
Moore’s rationale for a Trump victory includes angry white voters and the United Kingdom’s vote to leave the European Union — known as Brexit — that sent shockwaves around the world in June.
“I live in Michigan. Let me tell you, it’s going to be the Brexit strategy,” Moore said.
“The middle of England is Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio and Pennsylvania,” he continued. “And Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral votes. The total number of electoral votes in those states in the Rust Belt: 64. All [Trump] has to do is win those four states.”
President Obama won by 126 electoral votes over Mitt Romney in 2012. But if the aforementioned four states and the 64 electoral votes that go with them collectively were to be flipped, Romney would have won that election 270-268.
Earlier in the day, Moore was much more pointed in his backhanded praise of Trump.
“He knows how to manipulate a dumbed-down population,” he said at a press conference.
“The population of schools has been wrecked, and the news media is just insipid and stupid and doesn’t give the people the facts about what’s going on,” he explained, calling American voters, “easily manipulated.”
“He’s [Trump’s] not as stupid as he looks. You should take it very seriously,” the director of “Fahrenheit 911” and “Roger and Me” warned. “He knows the manipulation that’s going on here, and the use of propaganda and the way he’s doing it is just brilliant in the way that he is succeeding and has succeeded.”
According to the RealClearPolitics average, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat nationally with 109 days to go until Election Day. Clinton’s lead is down to 2.7 points, within the margin of error.
The following are two articles elaborating on the anti-war elements of “American Sniper.” –SB
Entertainment Clint Eastwood Reveals ‘Biggest Anti-War Statement’ That Can Be Found in ‘American Sniper’
Jan. 26, 2015 10:23am Billy Hallowell
Some critics have lambasted Clint Eastwood’s “American Sniper” for purportedly glorifying war, but the famed movie director recently revealed what he believes to be the “biggest anti-war statement” that can be found embedded in the record-breaking film.
“The biggest anti-war statement is what [war] does to the families left behind,” Eastwood said at Saturday’s Producers Guild Awards nominees breakfast, according to Variety.
Similarly, Yahoo! News quoted the “American Sniper” director as saying that the “biggest anti-war statement any film” can offer up is the “fact of what [war] does to the family and the people who have to go back into civilian life like Chris Kyle did.”
So, the two went to Texas to meet Kyle’s wife, children and extended family members before filming “American Sniper.”
“I thought I’d better meet the rest of the family and see what they looked like and that would probably dictate the casting and to see what Mrs. Kyle was like,” Eastwood said. “I went down there and met the mother and father and their grandkids. It was of great value to [Bradley] because he could get into the history of the family and their feelings about the whole situation. It was a very pleasant experience from beginning to end.”
Screenwriter Jason Hall made similar comments earlier this month when he told Variety’s “PopPolitics” that the lives of Kyle and his fellow soldiers, as depicted in the film, counter any images that might be seen as glorifying war.
“The cost is man, the toll is man, and it’s this man and every other soldier that fights,” Hall told the outlet. “If we understand that, maybe we won’t be so hasty into jumping into war, and if we understand that, maybe we’ll find a way of welcoming [veterans] home better.”
Hall added that he personally didn’t entirely understand the Iraq War, but that he believes in supporting the troops once battle begins. The screen writer added that “soldiers don’t choose their war; war chooses them or their politicians choose the war.”
Emotions surrounding “American Sniper” — from support for the film to claims that it inaccurately portrays Kyle and the Iraq War — are complex and diverse, with some like filmmaker Michael Moore responding by issuing attacks.
“Instead of being a sniper to protect our troops, I tried to save their lives by stopping Bush from sending them to their deaths in Iraq,” Moore tweeted over the weekend.
Jason Hall, the screenwriter of “American Sniper,” says that while the movie features harrowing scenes of combat, he also set out to convey the toll of the Iraq War on its central figure, Chris Kyle, the Navy SEAL considered to be the most lethal sniper of the modern American military.
While there has been some criticism that the movie glorifies some of the deadly battles as the U.S. fought insurgents during its occupation of Iraq, Hall, in an interview with Variety‘s “PopPolitics” on SiriusXM this week, says that it’s countered by the movie’s focus on the personal life of Kyle and other fellow soldiers.
“The cost is man, the toll is man, and it’s this man and every other soldier that fights,” Hall says. “If we understand that, maybe we won’t be so hasty into jumping into war, and if we understand that, maybe we’ll find a way of welcoming [veterans] home better.”
Hall said that he initially “didn’t totally understand” the war in Iraq, but coming from a family with a military background, he understood that, once U.S. military action began there, it was important to support the soldiers. “I’m very aware those soldiers don’t choose their war; war chooses them,” he said.
Director Clint Eastwood has said that he was opposed to the U.S. invasion of Iraq, which may be a surprise given his history of support for Republican candidates (and appearance at the 2012 GOP convention).
Hall, meanwhile, says that “American Sniper” may generate different reactions from different moviegoers, as well as provoke debate over the American experience in Iraq. He says the movie is “a new perspective of a war we are still trying to understand,” because of its focus on the soldiers.
In developing the script, the first challenge Hall had was gaining Kyle’s trust. Their first meeting wasn’t going so well until Hall took an unusual action: He put one of Kyle’s friends in a headlock.
Hall describes his final contact with Kyle in 2013, just as he was turning in the first draft of the screenplay. The next day, Kyle was murdered at a Texas shooting range by a veteran he was trying to help.