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Category Archives: Martin Chen

Dispatches

14 Friday Nov 2014

Posted by essaybee2012 in aging, Alvin Toffler, American Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry, androids, Blade Runner (1982), Blaze.com, Cagan Randall, Carrick Brain Centers, change, cognitive function, Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep? (1968), Fast Forward 2030: The Future of Work and the Workplace, future shock, Genesis Property, Glenn Beck, human beings, Jason Schneider, Jenny Awford, jobs, Liz Klimas, MailOnline, Martin Chen, memory, memory loss, memory restoration, now, occupations, Philip K. Dick, professions, real age, replicants, Ridley Scott, self image, traumatic brain injuries (TBI), Wall Street Journal

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In Ridley Scott’s 1982 film, “Blade Runner,” based on Philip K. Dick’s 1968 novel, Do Androids Dream of Electic Sheep, replicants (or androids) have no memory of their own.  This highlights, in Dick and Scott’s fictional world of the year 2021, a distinctly non-human trait.  Memories, after all, to a large extent define human beings as being human.

At one point, Deckard (the detective) is questioning Tyrell (the inventor/programmer of the replicants).

“Where do you get them, the memories?” Deckard asks.

“In the case of Rachael,” Tyrell recalls, “I simply copied and regenerated cells from the brain of my sixteen-year-old niece.  Rachael remembers what my little niece remembers.”

In today’s world, people with traumatic brain injuries (TBI) become creepily similar to these replicants by losing large chunks of their memories.  Individuals like Dr. Cagan Randall, lead clinician and co-founder of Carrick Brain Centers, are now there to help rehabilitate them, as he recently did with media mogul, Glenn Beck.

Liz Klimas of TheBlaze.com writes:  “While it would seem as if these treatments focus on physical effects of a TBI, Randall said that patients with such injuries also suffer from memory deficits.  ‘Going through [this] rehabilitation, we see big improvements in memory restoration,’ Randall said.”

There are easier ways to restore one’s memory.  One might be emphasizing a youthful self-image.

Jason Schneider of the Wall Street Journal writes:  “Feeling younger than one’s real age could help to preserve memory and cognitive function as people get older, says a study in the November [2014} issue of the American Journal of Geriatric Psychiatry.”   [ http://www.ajgponline.org/article/S1064-7481%2813%2900181-4/fulltext ].”

To switch gears just a bit, another recent report, Fast Forward 2030:  The Future of Work and the Workplace, predicts the disappearance of many occupations over the next 10-11 years.

“Experts predict that 50 percent of occupations today will no longer exist by 2025 as people will take up more creative professions,” said Martin Chen, Chief Operating Officer of Genesis.

Jenny Awford of MailOnline adds:  “the report states:  ‘Losing occupations does not necessarily mean losing jobs – just changing what people do.’”

Reminiscent of Alvin Toffler’s “Future Shock?”  Change is occurring so rapidly and exponentially that human beings may soon be unable to keep up with it all.  What will happen to memories when they flash by us like the frames of a film strip?  Will a youthful self-image counter the trauma?  Will Brain Centers still be able to reverse memory loss?  Will we simply forget about the past and focus like a laser on the ever-evolving now?  Will we soon be no different from the replicants of Philip K. Dick and Ridley Scott?

These are all questions to ask while reading my three posts of 13 November 2014:  “I’m younger than that now:”  Self-image and memory, Beck’s journey home from brain fog:  The Carrick Brain Centers and their cowboy magic, and 50% of current jobs obsolete in 11 years.

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50% of current jobs obsolete in 11 years

13 Thursday Nov 2014

Posted by essaybee2012 in Aaron Smith, artificial intelligence, car manufacturing, carebots, CBRE Asia Pacific, cellphone stores, corporations, creativity intelligence, customer work, digital agents, Fast Forward 2030: The Future of Work and the Workplace (2014), freelancers, Genesis - China, Jenny Awford, jobs, Jonathan Grudin, MailOnline, Martin Chen, middle management, occupations, optimism, Oxford University researchers, Peter Andrew, Pew Research, process work, real estate development, robots, self-driving cars, social skills, SoftBank Corporation, technology, work, workplaces, workspaces

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MailOnline

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2826463/CBRE-report-warns-50-cent-occupations-redundant-20-years-time.html

FEEDBACK
Will YOUR job still exist in 2025?  New report warns 50 per cent of occupations will be redundant in 11 years time

-Experts believe half of today’s jobs will be completely redundant by 2025
-Artificial intelligence will mean that many jobs will be done by computers
-Customer work, process work and middle management will ‘disappear’
-Report states that workspaces with rows of desks will no longer exist

By Jenny Awford for MailOnline

Published:  09:31 EST, 8 November 2014 | Updated:  10:55 EST, 8 November 2014

[ For slide show, see: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2826463/CBRE-report-warns-50-cent-occupations-redundant-20-years-time.html ]

Japan’s SoftBank Corp is developing human-like robots which it will use to staff its cellphone stores

From self-driving cars to carebots for elderly people, rapid advances in technology have long represented a potential threat to many jobs normally performed by people.

But experts now believe that almost 50 per cent of occupations existing today will be completely redundant by 2025 as artificial intelligence continues to transform businesses.

A revolutionary shift in the way workplaces operate is expected to take place over the next 10 to 15 years, which could put some people’s livelihoods at risk.

Customer work, process work and vast swatches of middle management will simply ‘disappear’, according to a new report by consulting firm CBRE and China-based Genesis.

‘Experts predict that 50 per cent of occupations today will no longer exist by 2025 as people will take up more creative professions,’ said Martin Chen, Chief Operating Officer of Genesis.

‘This means that jobs will evolve and so will real estate development.’

Workspaces with rows of desks will become completely redundant, not because they are not fit for purpose, but simply because that purpose no longer exists, according to the report.

‘The next fifteen years will see a revolution in how we work, and a corresponding revolution will necessarily take place on how we plan and think about workplaces,’ said Peter Andrew, Director of Workplace Strategy for CBRE Asia Pacific.

A growing proportion of jobs in the future will require creativity intelligence, social skills and the ability to leverage artificial intelligence.

‘And for most people that will be a route to happiness and fulfillment,’ the report states.

‘For many of us, artificial intelligence will be a tool to undertake tasks of a scale and complexity that were once unimaginable but which are now eminently possible and hugely rewarding.’

The report – Fast Forward 2030: The Future of Work and the Workplace – is based on interviews with 200 experts, business leaders and young people from Asia Pacific, Europe and North America.

[ For slide show, see: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2826463/CBRE-report-warns-50-cent-occupations-redundant-20-years-time.html ]

The car manufacturing industry was transformed when robots were installed on production lines

Data in the US suggests that technology already destroys more jobs than it creates, as GDP has been able to grow faster than employment since 2000.

But the report states:  ‘Losing occupations does not necessarily mean losing jobs – just changing what people do.’

Growth in new jobs could occur as much through crowd sourced freelancers as within the bounds of the corporation, according to the research.

‘The biggest wild card will be the emergence of 20 to 40 person companies that have the speed and technological know-how to directly challenge major corporations,’ it states.

A 2014 report by Pew Research found 52 per cent of experts in artificial and robotics were optimistic about the future and believed there would still be enough jobs in the next few decades.

The optimists envisioned “a future in which robots and digital agents do not displace more jobs than they create,” according to Aaron Smith, the report’s co-author.

Microsoft’s Jonathan Grudin told researchers that:  “Technology will continue to disrupt jobs, but more jobs seem likely to be created.

‘When the world population was a few hundred million people there were hundreds of millions of jobs.

‘Although there have always been unemployed people, when we reached a few billion people there were billions of jobs.  There is no shortage of things that need to be done and that will not change.’

Oxford University researchers have ranked the occupations most in danger of being replaced by computers and robots, including telemarketers, insurance underwriters and watch repairers.

Some of the least likely to be replaced are therapists, audiologists and choreographers.

~
TOP 20 JOBS AT MOST AND LEAST RISK OF BEING REPLACED BY ROBOTS

Jobs most at risk of being replaced  

1) Telemarketers

2) Title Examiners, abstractors and searchers

3) People working in sewers

4) Mathematical technicians

5) Insurance underwriters

6) Watch repairers

7) Cargo and freight agents

8) Tax preparers

9) Photographic process workers

10) New accounts clerks

11) Library Technicians

12) Data entry keyers

13) Timing device assemblers

14) Insurance claims

15) Brokerage clerks

16) Order clerks

17) Loan officers

18) Insurance appraisers

19) Umpires, Referees, and sports officials

20) Tellers

Jobs least at risk of being replaced

1) Chiropractors

2) Biochemists and biophysicists

3) Electronics engineers, except computers

4) Directors, religious activities and education

5) Supervisors of correctional officers

6) Art directors

7) Orthodontists

8) Interior designers

9) Producers and directors

10) Photographers

11) Physical therapists

12) Fashion designers

13) Materials engineers

14) Materials scientists

15) Soil and plant scientists

16) Health diagnosing and treating practitioners

17) Civil engineers

18) Physical therapist assistants

19) Architects, except Landscape and naval

20) Environmental Engineers

 

Read more:  http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2826463/CBRE-report-warns-50-cent-occupations-redundant-20-years-time.html#ixzz3Iy6uVOeL
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